Comments on: Q&A: Deal or No Deal http://mathfactor.uark.edu/2008/01/02/qa-deal-or-no-deal/ The Math Factor Podcast Site Fri, 04 Jul 2008 02:54:13 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 By: jlundell http://mathfactor.uark.edu/2008/01/02/qa-deal-or-no-deal/#comment-290 jlundell Fri, 11 Apr 2008 22:21:18 +0000 http://mathfactor.uark.edu/2008/01/02/qa-deal-or-no-deal/#comment-290 Great article. It's also got one of the nicest and most concise explanations I've seen of the MHP odds: <i>This answer goes against our intuition that, with two unopened doors left, the odds are 50-50 that the car is behind one of them. But when you stick with Door 1, you’ll win only if your original choice was correct, which happens only 1 in 3 times on average. If you switch, you’ll win whenever your original choice was wrong, which happens 2 out of 3 times.</i> Great article. It’s also got one of the nicest and most concise explanations I’ve seen of the MHP odds:

This answer goes against our intuition that, with two unopened doors left, the odds are 50-50 that the car is behind one of them. But when you stick with Door 1, you’ll win only if your original choice was correct, which happens only 1 in 3 times on average. If you switch, you’ll win whenever your original choice was wrong, which happens 2 out of 3 times.

]]> By: strauss http://mathfactor.uark.edu/2008/01/02/qa-deal-or-no-deal/#comment-287 strauss Wed, 09 Apr 2008 19:40:10 +0000 http://mathfactor.uark.edu/2008/01/02/qa-deal-or-no-deal/#comment-287 This <a href='http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/08/science/08tier.html?em&ex=1207886400&en=2b8f677ffd1f2caf&ei=5087%0A' rel="nofollow"> amazing article</a> shows how monte hall problem has been hidden, unrecognized, inside of hundreds of cognitive science experiments, wrecking many experimental results. This amazing article shows how monte hall problem has been hidden, unrecognized, inside of hundreds of cognitive science experiments, wrecking many experimental results.

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