AL. Rumors and suckers
In which we show gossip is unreliable and how you can always fleece a sucker.
We don’t really quite take the time to answer Eddington’s gossiping problem all the way; I hope to fill in the details here later. We mention the “Principle of Indifference”, and we set up some sucker bets!
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Shawn said,
November 18, 2011 at 3:39 pm
So does this mean that if I know someone who lies with probability 1/4 and I want him or her to not lie quite as much, I should gossip about what they said and that will retroactively make his or her previous statements more likely to be the truth?